About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
How Does Polymarket Work? Complete Beginner's Guide
1 April 2026how does Polymarket work
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
Polymarket Fees: Complete Breakdown for 2026
1 May 2026Polymarket fees
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which Is More Accurate?
1 May 2026prediction markets vs polls
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
Prediction Market Regulation in 2026: What's Legal Where?
1 May 2026prediction market regulation 2026
CFTC and Prediction Markets: The Regulatory Landscape
1 May 2026CFTC prediction markets
Prediction Market Signals: How Traders Read the Odds
1 May 2026prediction market signals
DeFi Prediction Markets: Decentralized Forecasting in 2026
1 May 2026DeFi prediction markets
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
What Is a Prediction Market? The Complete 2026 Guide
1 May 2026what is a prediction market
Election Prediction Markets 2026: Real-Time Odds for Midterms & Global Votes
1 May 2026election prediction markets 2026
YES and NO Shares in Prediction Markets: What They Mean and How to Trade Them
1 May 2026yes no shares prediction market
Prediction Markets for UK Traders 2026: Legal Status, Best Platforms & How to Start
1 May 2026prediction markets UK
How CLOB Works in Prediction Markets: Central Limit Order Book Explained
1 May 2026CLOB prediction market
Sports Betting ROI vs Prediction Markets: Which Is More Profitable Long-Term?
1 May 2026sports betting vs prediction market ROI
Polymarket Alternative for US Users: Trade Prediction Markets Without a VPN
1 May 2026polymarket alternative USA
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
CLOB vs AMM in Prediction Markets: Which Order Matching Is Better?
1 May 2026CLOB vs AMM prediction market
Golf Major Prediction Markets 2026: Masters, US Open & The Open Champion Odds
1 May 2026golf prediction market 2026
Prediction Markets UK 2026: PolyGram as the Best Polymarket UK Alternative
1 May 2026polymarket UK
Boxing Prediction Markets 2026: Undisputed Champions & Title Fight Odds
1 May 2026boxing prediction market 2026
Prediction Market Tax Guide 2026: US, UK, Germany & Global Overview
1 May 2026prediction market tax guide 2026
Tennis Prediction Markets 2026: Grand Slam Odds, ATP & WTA Markets
2 May 2026tennis prediction market 2026
Crypto Market Cap Prediction Markets 2026: Total Market & Altcoin Season Odds
2 May 2026crypto market cap prediction 2026
Gold Price Prediction Markets 2026: XAU/USD Milestones & Safe Haven Odds
2 May 2026gold price prediction market 2026
Solana Prediction Markets 2026: SOL Price, ETF Odds & Ecosystem Milestones
2 May 2026solana prediction market 2026
Real Estate Prediction Markets 2026: US Housing Prices & Market Crash Odds
2 May 2026real estate prediction market 2026
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification & Risk Strategy 2026
2 May 2026prediction market portfolio strategy
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Climate & Environment Prediction Markets 2026: CO2, Temperature & Policy Odds
2 May 2026climate prediction market 2026
French Open 2026 Prediction Markets: Roland Garros Champion Odds & Clay Analysis
2 May 2026French Open 2026 prediction market
Prediction Market Bankroll Management: Never Blow Up Your Account
2 May 2026prediction market bankroll management
Prediction Market Returns Calculator: How Much Can You Make on Each Trade?
2 May 2026prediction market returns calculator
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Best Crypto Prediction Market Platform 2026: Where to Trade Bitcoin & ETH Markets
2 May 2026best crypto prediction market platform
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026
Serie A Prediction Markets 2025/26: Inter Milan, Juventus & Italian Football Odds
2 May 2026serie a prediction market 2026