Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22?

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Market context

Shanghai has entered its warm, humid late-June phase, with seasonal norms at Pudong putting daytime highs around the low- to mid-20s Celsius and sunny days capable of reaching the low 30s. Recent forecast ranges for the airport point to highs near the upper 20s to low 30s, while June rainfall is typically frequent enough to cap extremes on many days.[2][6][7]

That is why a 0% crowd-implied yes looks conservative only if the market is expecting a very specific threshold rather than a broad warm-day outcome. June at Pudong is usually warm but not uniformly hot: climatology shows average June highs around 27°C, yet rare spikes into the high 30s have been observed in late June in recent years, including 38°C on 27 June 2025. At the same time, wetter, cloudier periods tend to keep highs in the 25–30°C band, which is the more common comparison set for reading this contract.[1][2][4]

For the next few hours, the key catalyst is the live airport reading rather than any policy or schedule event. Traders should watch the morning-to-afternoon temperature rise, cloud cover, and any rainfall that develops over Pudong, because the market resolves on the day’s highest recorded temperature at Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station by noon UTC. Recent airport forecasts already show unsettled conditions with rain risk and temperatures that could still print well above the lower bins if sunshine breaks through.[1][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 22? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

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