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World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Comparison of odds and platforms for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

70% YES 30% NO Volume: $796K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

South Korea70% YES31% NO
Czechia70% YES30% NO
Switzerland94% YES6% NO
Bosnia and Herzegovina67% YES34% NO
Morocco86% YES14% NO
Haiti12% YES89% NO

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to world cup: team to advance to knockout stages. This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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