Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Thomas Faurel and Valentin Vacherot are scheduled to meet in the opening round of Roland Garros ATP on 25 May 2026. The 0% implied probability reflects the absence of recent betting activity or market liquidity rather than certainty about either player's withdrawal or unavailability. Both competitors remain active on the professional circuit, with no reported injuries or scheduling conflicts as of late May.
Faurel and Vacherot occupy similar positions within the lower-ranked ATP cohort, both operating outside the top 200 in recent rankings. Direct head-to-head records between players at this level are sparse, making historical matchup data unreliable for prediction purposes. Instead, their respective performances at qualifying tournaments and lower-tier ATP events provide the most relevant baseline. The 0% market reading suggests traders have simply not engaged with this fixture, typical for early-round matches involving unseeded or lower-ranked competitors where information asymmetry remains high.
The settlement window closes on 1 June at 09:00 UTC, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for completion. Traders should monitor official Roland Garros draw confirmations and any late withdrawals from either player in the 48 hours before the match. Injury announcements or late scheduling adjustments occasionally surface through ATP official channels or player social media. The match's early morning slot (05:00 ET) may affect viewership and subsequent market participation, though this does not alter the underlying competitive outcome.
Methodology
This page reviews Roland Garros ATP: Thomas Faurel vs Valentin Vacherot across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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