Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Halle Open first-round encounter between Terence Atmane and Martin Landaluce is scheduled for 15 June 2026, with settlement closing a week later on 22 June. The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of cancellation; both players remain active on the professional circuit, and the Halle tournament (an ATP 500 event held annually in Halle an der Saale, Germany) has maintained consistent scheduling through recent seasons.

Atmane, a French player ranked outside the top 100, has shown inconsistent results on grass courts—the surface favours aggressive baseline play and serve-and-volley tactics where his record is mixed. Landaluce, a Spanish competitor, similarly lacks a strong grass-court pedigree. Historical first-round matches at Halle between players of comparable ranking typically see the higher-seeded or more experienced grass-court performer advance, though upsets occur in roughly 15–20% of such contests. Neither player has a notable head-to-head record that would heavily bias expectations.

Traders should monitor the official Halle entry list confirmation (usually finalised in early June) and any injury announcements in the fortnight before the match. Weather disruptions are possible in mid-June in western Germany, though the tournament venue has covered courts for such contingencies. Withdrawal rates at ATP 500 events remain low unless players are competing in overlapping tournaments or nursing injuries. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against minor delays, but any cancellation or postponement beyond 22 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.