Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 21.5 | 69% Over | 32% Under |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 22.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Match O/U 23.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% Over 2.5 | 50% Under 2.5 |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Set 1 Winner | 50% Sramkova | 50% Wurth |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 69% YES probability for Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth. This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Tara Wurth in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if R…
Methodology
This page reviews Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →