Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo

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Market context

The Chicago Sky face the Toronto Tempo on 7 June at 3:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. The 9% implied probability for a Chicago victory reflects substantial confidence in Toronto's chances, though the market has tightened slightly over the past 48 hours as injury updates have filtered through both rosters. Chicago's recent form has been inconsistent, whilst Toronto has maintained competitive performances in their last five outings, which partly explains the current odds distribution.

Historical WNBA upset rates at this probability level—around 9%—occur roughly once every eleven comparable fixtures, suggesting the market is pricing Chicago as a genuine underdog rather than a statistical anomaly. When teams sit at this probability threshold, postponements and cancellations become the primary non-outcome risk; weather disruptions in early June are uncommon but not unprecedented in the Eastern Conference schedule. The settlement window's extension clause protects against rescheduling complications, though full cancellation without a make-up game would trigger a 50-50 split.

Traders should monitor official roster confirmations through 6 June, particularly regarding Toronto's guard availability, which has been flagged in recent team reports. Chicago's injury status on their frontcourt depth will also influence late-market movement. The venue—Scotiabank Arena in Toronto—favours the home side statistically, a factor already embedded in the current odds but worth reassessing if either team announces unexpected absences closer to tip-off.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

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What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

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How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.