Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 90% Over | 10% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | — | |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Team Yandex | 0% LGD Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 62% Team Yandex | 39% LGD Gaming |
| Game 3 Winner | 62% Team Yandex | 39% LGD Gaming |
| Game 4 Winner | 57% Team Yandex | 43% LGD Gaming |
Market context
Team Yandex face LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs grand final on 7 June, with the 90% crowd probability heavily favouring the Russian squad. The match was initially scheduled for 9:30AM ET but scheduling shifts remain possible given the international nature of both rosters and BLAST's tournament logistics. No material changes to team composition or player availability have emerged in the past 48 hours, though LGD's recent form and any last-minute roster confirmations could shift sentiment if disclosed before the settlement window closes.
The 90% implied probability reflects Yandex's stronger recent tournament performance and regional dominance, though LGD Gaming remains a formidable Chinese outfit with multiple International-level credentials. Historical BLAST Slam finals have occasionally produced upsets when the favoured team faced unexpected tactical adjustments or individual player underperformance, but the gap between these two squads appears material enough to justify the current odds. LGD would need to execute a near-flawless series to overturn the expectation.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule for any postponements beyond the 7 June window, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Confirmation of final rosters from both organisations—particularly any late substitutions—typically arrives 24–48 hours before the match. Any public statements from either team's coaching staff regarding preparation or confidence levels may appear on esports news outlets like HLTV or Liquipedia closer to the event date, though such commentary rarely shifts markets of this magnitude.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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