Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 56% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: karmine corp vs paper rex (bo3) - esports world cup group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports … on Prediction Today
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