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Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 90% Morocco O/U 0.5 79% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 69% Volume: $343K Liquidity: $3.6M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Morocco O/U 0.579%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.569%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Canada O/U 0.559%
Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.558%
Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Both Teams to Score47%
Morocco O/U 1.543%
O/U 2.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.539%
Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
Canada 1st Half O/U 0.532%
Team to Advance30%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?28%
Morocco (-1.5)25%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half23%
O/U 3.522%
Morocco 2nd Half O/U 1.522%
Canada O/U 1.521%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?20%
Morocco O/U 2.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
2nd Half O/U 2.516%
Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.514%
Morocco (-2.5)10%
O/U 4.59%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.59%
Canada (-1.5)6%
Canada 1st Half O/U 1.56%
Canada O/U 2.55%
Morocco (-3.5)3%
O/U 5.53%
Canada (-2.5)1%
Morocco (-4.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
Canada (-3.5)0%
Canada (-4.5)0%
Canada (-5.5)0%
Morocco (-5.5)0%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 90% YES probability for Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Canada vs. Morocco - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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