Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Grêmio FBPA | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Montevideo City Torque | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Grêmio FBPA will face Montevideo City Torque in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on Tuesday, 26 May 2026. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or strong consensus that this market lacks sufficient liquidity to establish meaningful odds. Settlement closes at 22:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the final hours before kick-off for position adjustments.
Copa Sudamericana matches between Brazilian and Uruguayan clubs historically show competitive balance, though Grêmio enters as the more established institution with greater continental pedigree. Montevideo City Torque, founded in 2017, remains a relatively young franchise in regional competition. Previous encounters between clubs of comparable stature in this tournament have typically favoured teams with deeper squad depth and European-level experience, though upsets occur frequently enough that dismissing either side entirely misrepresents the underlying uncertainty.
Recent fixture congestion in both domestic leagues will shape team selection and fatigue levels heading into 26 May. Grêmio's Campeonato Gaúcho and subsequent Série A commitments may create rotation pressures, whilst Montevideo City's Primera División schedule runs parallel. Injury reports and squad announcements typically emerge 48–72 hours before Copa Sudamericana matches; traders should monitor official team communications and local sports outlets for confirmation of key player availability. The settlement window's tight closure means late-breaking team news could significantly alter perceived match probabilities in the final trading window.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $388K.
Methodology
This page reviews Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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