Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 5.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Qatar and Switzerland meet on 13 June 2026 in what will be the host nation's second World Cup group-stage fixture. The 100% crowd probability on total corners occurring reflects near-certainty that the match will be played and that at least one corner kick will be awarded during the 90 minutes—a threshold met in the vast majority of competitive international fixtures. Recent World Cup group matches have averaged 8–10 corners per game, with only isolated low-intensity contests falling below five total.
Switzerland's defensive shape and possession-retention style typically generates moderate corner counts. In qualifying for the 2026 tournament, Swiss matches averaged 7.2 corners across all competitions. Qatar, as hosts, will face pressure to attack but has historically conceded corners at a steady rate; their recent friendlies ahead of the tournament have shown corner totals in the 6–9 range. The pairing suggests a match unlikely to produce extreme corner scarcity, making the binary settlement hinge almost entirely on whether the match occurs as scheduled and completes its full duration.
Traders should monitor team news and weather forecasts in the days before kick-off. Injury updates to key Swiss defenders or Qatar's attacking personnel could shift tactical approaches and corner frequency, though such shifts would need to be substantial to materially alter the probability of at least one corner being awarded. Fixture postponement or abandonment remains the only realistic settlement risk; no such disruption has been flagged as of early June 2026.
Methodology
We track Qatar vs. Switzerland - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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