Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| Commanders O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| O/U 28.5 | 85% |
| O/U 29.5 | 82% |
| O/U 30.5 | 82% |
| O/U 31.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| Giants O/U 10.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| O/U 32.5 | 73% |
| Commanders O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| O/U 33.5 | 71% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 70% |
| Commanders O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| O/U 34.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Giants 1H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 63% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 12.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 36.5 | 59% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 59% |
| Commanders O/U 20.5 | 58% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 58% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 37.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| O/U 38.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Commanders O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Giants 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Commanders by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Commanders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants vs. Commanders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Commanders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Giants Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Giants O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Giants O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 40.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| Commanders O/U 23.5 | 42% |
| 1H Moneyline | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 42.5 | 37% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| O/U 43.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| Giants vs. Commanders | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| O/U 44.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| O/U 45.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 51.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| O/U 46.5 | 24% |
| O/U 47.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 55.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 20% |
| O/U 54.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 20% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 20% |
| O/U 57.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 48.5 | 19% |
| O/U 58.5 | 19% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| O/U 49.5 | 18% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| O/U 64.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Commanders 1H O/U 20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| O/U 50.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 52.5 | 12% |
| Giants 1H O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Giants 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| O/U 53.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| O/U 56.5 | 6% |
| Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 59.5 | 4% |
| O/U 65.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| O/U 62.5 | 3% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Giants vs. Commanders. In the upcoming NFL football game between Giants and Commanders, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Giants" if Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Comman…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
We track Giants vs. Commanders across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2214%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2236%22%20height%3D%228%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fdba74%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Giants vs. Commanders on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →