Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 83% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 82% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 82% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 82% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 82% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 81% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 81% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 81% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 80% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 80% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 79% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 79% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 78% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 78% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 77% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 76% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 76% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 75% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 74% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 71% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 67% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 64% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 59% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 52% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 49% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 47% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 43% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 42% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 41% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 40% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 39% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 38% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 38% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 38% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 35% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 34% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 32% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 30% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 30% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 30% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 30% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 27% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 27% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 27% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 26% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 22% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 21% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 21% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 21% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 21% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 20% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 20% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 20% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 20% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 19% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 17% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 16% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 14% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 13% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 12% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 11% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 9% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 8% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 7% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 5% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 4% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of cowboys vs. packers - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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