Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 28.5 | 96% |
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 32.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 93% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 92% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 88% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 88% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 87% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 38.5 | 86% |
| O/U 39.5 | 85% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 85% |
| O/U 40.5 | 83% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 80% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 80% |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 79% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| O/U 43.5 | 76% |
| O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 74% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 74% |
| O/U 45.5 | 72% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 72% |
| O/U 46.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 47.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 67% |
| O/U 48.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 63% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 60% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 58% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 56% |
| O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 54% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 54% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 53% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| O/U 53.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 21+ | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 54.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 46% |
| Safety? | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 33% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 62.5 | 26% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 63.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Cowboys vs. Packers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 22% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 19% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 17% |
| O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 96% chance of cowboys vs. packers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $217K.
Methodology
This page reviews Cowboys vs. Packers across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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