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LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 91% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon91%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Match Winner28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lol: team heretics vs fnatic (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Here…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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