Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% Odd | 51% Even |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5) | 45% T1 Academy | 55% Nongshim Esports Academy |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% Odd | 10% Even |
Market context
Nongshim Esports Academy face T1 Academy in the Asia Masters Playoffs upper bracket semifinal on 17 June, with the match scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The 49-49 split reflects genuine uncertainty between two academy rosters competing at the regional level, where roster stability and recent scrim performance carry outsized weight compared to established league play.
T1's academy programme historically benefits from proximity to the organisation's main roster infrastructure and coaching resources, though academy-level competition introduces variables that diminish traditional brand advantages. Nongshim Academy operates within a smaller regional ecosystem but has demonstrated competitiveness in recent academy tournaments across Southeast Asia. Head-to-head records between these specific rosters remain limited, making recent tournament results the primary reference point for calibrating expectations rather than deep historical precedent.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations through 16 June, as academy squads occasionally experience last-minute substitutions due to injury or main roster call-ups. Patch timing relative to the match date matters—any significant balance changes in the week preceding 17 June could favour one team's practised compositions over the other. The settlement window closes at 15:40 UTC on 17 June, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for official confirmation. Cancellation risk remains low given Asia Masters' established scheduling, though regional internet disruptions or unforeseen circumstances could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion.
Methodology
We track LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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