Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| CR Flamengo (-1.5) | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| CR Flamengo (-2.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
Market context
Flamengo travel to Peru for a Copa Libertadores group-stage fixture against Cusco FC on 26 May, with settlement tied to whether additional markets open around the match. The 54% implied probability reflects moderate confidence that supplementary betting options will be offered, though the exact trigger—whether tied to team news, injury updates, or standard tournament coverage—remains unspecified in the market terms.
Flamengo's recent form and squad depth typically attract expanded market coverage in continental competitions. The club's status as a major Brazilian side means bookmakers usually provision multiple betting angles for their fixtures, particularly in knockout-adjacent stages where roster changes or tactical adjustments generate trading interest. Historical precedent suggests Copa Libertadores matches involving established clubs see secondary markets activated within 24 hours of kickoff, though Cusco's lower profile as a Peruvian representative introduces uncertainty about the breadth of available options.
Traders should monitor official Copa Libertadores fixture confirmations and any late team announcements from Flamengo's camp over the next 48 hours. Injury disclosures or squad rotation decisions often trigger additional market creation, as do weather or venue-related factors that might affect betting patterns. The settlement window closes shortly after the scheduled 8:30 PM ET start, meaning the decision on market expansion will likely crystallise within hours of the opening whistle rather than in advance.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $271K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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