Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic

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Market context

The Makarska tournament match between Lola Radivojevic and Mia Ristic is scheduled for 3 June 2026, with settlement contingent on completion by 10 June. The 100% implied probability reflects either strong confidence in match completion or minimal liquidity at the current odds; neither player has withdrawn from the event as of the latest tournament updates, though early-June scheduling on the women's circuit occasionally encounters weather delays on the Dalmatian coast.

Radivojevic and Ristic are both emerging players on the ITF and lower WTA circuits, with limited head-to-head history. Comparable matches at regional tournaments in this tier show completion rates above 95% when both players are active on tour and neither carries reported injury concerns. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing reasonable buffer for weather postponement—standard practice for outdoor clay events in Croatia during early summer.

Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any injury announcements through the ATP/WTA injury tracker in the week before 3 June. Makarska typically operates as a secondary event with limited broadcast coverage, so official tournament communications via the organiser's website remain the primary source for schedule changes. Court conditions and weather forecasts for the Adriatic region become relevant from 31 May onwards; June storms occasionally force rescheduling but rarely result in cancellations outright.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.