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Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $355K Liquidity: $570K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.591%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.588%
Match Winner57%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.538%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.538%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.525%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Team Vitality (+5.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Team Vitality (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Team Vitality (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Team Vitality (+7.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Team Vitality (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Team Vitality (+8.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: team vitality vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between Team Vitality and NRG in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitalit…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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