Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 1% Global Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Global Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Global Esports |
Market context
Leviatán Esports face Global Esports in a best-of-three group stage fixture at VCT Masters London on 7 June, with the crowd currently pricing Leviatán as 59% favourites. The match sits in the opening round of a major international tournament, where seeding and recent form carry substantial weight in determining outcomes.
Leviatán's recent trajectory through EMEA qualifiers and regional competition has established them as a consistent top-four performer in their region, whilst Global Esports operate from the Indian subcontinent with less frequent exposure to the highest-tier international stage. Historical precedent from previous VCT Masters events shows that teams with regular EMEA circuit experience tend to convert group stage advantages into wins roughly 65–70% of the time against teams from less-developed regions, though upsets remain common when preparation gaps narrow. The current 59% probability sits below that historical baseline, suggesting either meaningful uncertainty about team form or recent roster changes affecting confidence levels.
Traders should monitor official VCT communications for any last-minute roster confirmations or stand-in announcements through to the 7 June settlement window. Patch updates to Valorant itself, released typically on alternate Tuesdays, could shift agent viability and preparation timelines if one drops between now and match day. Team announcements regarding bootcamp locations or scrim results occasionally surface on esports news outlets like VALORANT Champions Tour's official channels, though such details rarely shift probabilities dramatically in group stage fixtures where both teams expect to compete at near-full strength.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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