Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai | 100% Kayo Nishimura | 0% Yu Ning Tsai |
| ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% Nishimura | 0% Tsai |
| ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf taipei: kayo nishimura vs yu ning tsai stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Kayo Nishimura and Yu Ning Tsai in the ITF Women Taipei, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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