Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup clash between Uruguay and Cabo Verde has already concluded, with the match taking place on Sunday, 21 June at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for the player prop market reflects the settled reality that the game is finished, rendering any future outcome impossible. In the last 24 hours, the primary shift has been the transition from live trading to post-match settlement, where all uncertainty has collapsed into a definitive result.

Historically, similar player prop markets in World Cup group stages where the underlying event has passed see probabilities collapse to zero within minutes of the final whistle, as the market moves from speculative pricing to administrative confirmation. Comparable cases from the 2022 and 2018 tournaments show that once a match ends, any "to score" or "to assist" props for players who did not meet the criteria settle as losses, with no room for reversal. The current 0% probability aligns with this established pattern of immediate settlement following match completion.

Traders should now focus on the official FIFA match report and the final settlement window ending 22:00 UTC on 21 June, which will confirm the exact player statistics. Recent coverage from Action Network noted Federico Valverde as a key offensive threat for Uruguay, with odds of 2.38 to score or assist, but the final outcome depends entirely on the official goal and assist logs now being processed [1]. No further announcements or line-up changes are expected, as the match is complete; the only dependency is the timely publication of the official statistics by FIFA to finalise all player prop settlements [8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.