Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Türkiye and Paraguay meet with the market still pricing a low-to-mid scoring game, with the crowd at 8% for a specific exact score and most pre-match pricing clustered around Türkiye narrowly favoured and the total set near 2.5 goals. Recent previews have converged on a tight contest rather than a shootout, with one taking Türkiye 1-0 and another highlighting the draw as a live outcome, which is consistent with the market’s broad preference for compressed scorelines rather than the “Any Other Score” bucket.[1][3][5]

That framing matters because both teams have recent signals that point towards caution and limited goal volume. Paraguay’s recent World Cup record has been described as containing a high share of low-scoring matches, while Türkiye’s opening result and the wider market still leave room for either a narrow win or a stalemate.[1][2][6] For exact-score traders, that keeps 1-0, 1-1 and 2-0 the most natural reference points, with probabilities sensitive to whether the match opens early or stays level into the second half.

The main catalysts to watch before settlement are team news, any late injury or suspension updates, and confirmed line-ups, because those can move a correct-score market more than the generic 1X2 prices. The match is scheduled for Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, and the market only resolves on the 90-minute result, excluding extra time and penalties, so any late tournament scheduling changes or postponement would matter directly to timing.[2][3] A fresh shift in the build-up from conservative previews towards a more open game would also raise the chance that the eventual score lands outside the narrow favourites now being discussed.[1][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.