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United States vs. Australia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "United States vs. Australia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

35% YES 65% NO Volume: $560K Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 19 Jun 2026
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United States vs. Australia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
 35% 65% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 35% 65% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

United States (-1.5)35% United States66% Australia
Australia (-1.5)6% Australia95% United States
United States (-2.5)16% United States85% Australia
Australia (-2.5)1% Australia99% United States
O/U 0.594% Over7% Under
O/U 1.575% Over26% Under

Market context

United States vs. Australia - More Markets — current market-implied probability: 35%. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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