Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
8% | 92% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
8% | 92% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Norway 0 - 1 Senegal | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Norway 0 - 2 Senegal | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Norway 2 - 0 Senegal | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Norway 1 - 2 Senegal | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Norway 3 - 0 Senegal | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Norway 2 - 2 Senegal | 6% YES | 94% NO |
Market context
Norway and Senegal meet at MetLife Stadium in a World Cup group-stage fixture with kick-off set for 8:00 PM ET, and the live price of **8% YES** implies the listed exact scoreline is still a long shot rather than a base case.[3][8] That fits the pre-match market shape: bookmakers have Norway only a modest favourite, with the draw also respected, while the total is around 2.5 goals, which usually spreads probability across several scorelines rather than concentrating it on one exact result.[3][2]
Recent previews have converged on a fairly balanced contest, with RotoWire’s projected score of **1-1** underlining how thin the edge is between the main outcomes.[1] In exact-score markets, that matters because low-to-mid totals tend to make 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0 the main clusters, but any single scoreline still carries a relatively small slice of the total probability. A price near 8% is therefore more consistent with a competitive match than with a lopsided one, even if one side is slightly more likely to win outright.[1][3]
The main catalysts now are line-up confirmation, any late injury or rotation news, and whether the market reacts to changes in the expected tempo once teams are announced. Reports ahead of the fixture have pointed to the match being broadcast live in the UK on ITV 1, and the World Cup schedule keeps the kick-off fixed, so the key trading window is the build-up to team news rather than any calendar uncertainty.[4][8] Since this market settles only on regulation plus stoppage time, late-game state also matters: a tight scoreline with a defensive finish supports the low-score outcomes most relevant here.[6]
Methodology
This page reviews Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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