Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET, with this market settling on the halftime scoreline. The 0% implied probability for a Haiti victory at the break reflects the substantial gap in competitive standing between the two nations. Scotland qualified for the tournament through UEFA's European pathway; Haiti secured qualification via CONCACAF, where it finished fourth in the final round. Recent form diverges sharply: Scotland reached the Euro 2024 finals and has maintained consistent competitive rhythm against European opposition, whilst Haiti's domestic infrastructure and recent international record show considerably lower output across comparable fixtures.

Historical precedent suggests halftime leads in World Cup matches favour established footballing nations with superior possession and pressing intensity. Scotland's squad contains players from the Premier League and top European clubs; Haiti's roster draws primarily from lower-tier European leagues and domestic Caribbean competition. In qualifying, Scotland averaged 1.8 goals per match; Haiti managed 0.9. The physical and technical demands of the opening 45 minutes typically benefit sides with higher training load exposure and match rhythm at elite level.

Team news and final squad confirmations arrive in early June. Injury status for Scotland's key midfielders and Haiti's goalkeeper will influence early-match tempo. Weather conditions at the venue—humidity and pitch surface—may affect Haiti's ability to press effectively, though this remains secondary to the underlying quality differential. Kickoff timing at 9:00 PM ET places the match in evening conditions, standard for World Cup scheduling.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.