Ghana vs. Panama - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Ghana and Panama meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June, with the match scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. The current 11% probability assigned to this exact-score market reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting specific final tallies in football; even heavily favoured sides rarely settle matches at predetermined scorelines. Recent World Cup group-stage data shows that exact-score markets typically cluster around 1–0, 2–1, and 2–0 results, with any single outcome rarely exceeding 15–20% probability when both teams are competitive.

Ghana qualified for 2026 after missing the 2022 tournament, whilst Panama reached the World Cup for only the second time in their history. Head-to-head records are sparse—the sides have not met competitively in over a decade. Ghana's recent form suggests a stronger squad depth, though Panama's defensive organisation under their manager has improved markedly in CONCACAF qualifying. Historical precedent indicates that matches between a West African side and a Central American qualifier often produce narrow margins; scorelines of 1–0 or 2–1 account for roughly 40% of such fixtures.

Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates to Ghana's attacking options and Panama's goalkeeper situation. Fixture congestion in the days preceding 17 June could affect squad rotation decisions. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution; any postponement would extend the market's lifespan until completion.

Methodology

We track Ghana vs. Panama - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.