Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Saudi Arabia (-1.5) | 0% Saudi Arabia | 100% Senegal |
| Senegal (-1.5) | 0% Senegal | 100% Saudi Arabia |
| Saudi Arabia (-2.5) | 0% Saudi Arabia | 100% Senegal |
| Senegal (-2.5) | 0% Senegal | 100% Saudi Arabia |
| O/U 0.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Saudi Arabia and Senegal are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June at 7:00 PM ET. The 0% probability assigned to "More Markets" reflects the market's current state rather than any shift in the underlying fixture itself. No material developments in the past 48 hours have altered the likelihood of additional betting markets being created for this match, though the settlement window remains open until 23:00 UTC on match day.
International friendlies typically attract secondary market creation only when there is sufficient trader demand or when the fixture gains unexpected prominence. Historical precedent suggests that markets for lesser-profile friendlies—particularly those between non-European sides—rarely expand beyond basic match outcomes. The Saudi-Senegal pairing lacks the commercial draw of European league fixtures or World Cup qualifiers, which typically justify the infrastructure investment required to launch derivative markets such as corner counts, card totals, or player-specific props.
Traders should monitor whether either national team announces significant squad changes or injury concerns in the days preceding the match, as such developments occasionally trigger broader market interest. Additionally, if either federation confirms the friendly as part of a competitive preparation cycle (for example, ahead of regional tournaments), bookmakers may perceive greater demand justifying expanded offerings. Current scheduling shows no competing high-profile fixtures on 9 June that would fragment liquidity, though the absence of such competition has not yet translated into additional market creation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $219K.
Methodology
We track Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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