US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $92.7M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $47.3M
| Rafael López Aliaga | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Carlos Álvarez | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| César Acuña | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Vladimir Cerrón | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Roberto Chiabra | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Enrique Valderrama | 0% YES | 100% NO |
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market wil
The Polymarket market "Peru Presidential Election Winner" is currently trading at 2% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 2%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 12 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly