Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Qatar (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Republic of Ireland (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qatar (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Ireland face Qatar in a FIFA International Friendly on 28 May at 2:45 PM ET, with the market currently showing zero probability for additional markets materialising around the fixture. The 0% reading reflects either confidence that no supplementary betting markets will launch, or minimal trader engagement with this particular outcome specification. No material developments in the past 48 hours have shifted expectations; the match itself remains scheduled as planned, with both nations confirmed to participate.
Friendlies between lower-ranked nations rarely attract the secondary market proliferation seen around major tournament fixtures or competitive qualifiers. Ireland (currently ranked 37th) versus Qatar (ranked 48th) sits well outside the tier of matches that typically trigger cascading market offerings from major operators. Historical precedent suggests that unless a friendly involves top-ten nations or carries significant competitive weight—World Cup qualifiers, continental championship preparation—additional markets tend not to materialise. The sparse market activity here aligns with that pattern rather than signalling any unusual constraint.
Traders monitoring this outcome should track whether either federation announces squad changes or injury withdrawals in the coming weeks, as such developments occasionally prompt operator interest in expanded betting options. Fixture confirmation from FIFA or either national association would be the primary catalyst, though the match appears administratively settled. The settlement window closing 28 May at 18:45 UTC leaves minimal buffer post-match, which itself may discourage operators from launching supplementary markets given operational complexity.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $198K.
Methodology
We track Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar - More Markets on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →