Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

A friendly international between Ireland and Qatar is scheduled for 28 May 2026, with the market currently pricing the match as certain to occur. The fixture sits within FIFA's international match calendar window, though friendly matches—particularly those involving non-European opponents—carry inherent scheduling risk. Recent fixture cancellations across international football have typically stemmed from logistical conflicts, squad availability disputes, or late withdrawals by either federation, rather than outright fixture postponements.

Historical precedent suggests friendlies between established confederations rarely fail to materialise once formally scheduled. Ireland and Qatar have limited recent competitive history, though both nations participate regularly in FIFA-sanctioned fixtures. The 100% probability reflects the formal confirmation status and proximity to the settlement window; with less than two months remaining, major administrative barriers would need to emerge for cancellation. Comparable friendly matches scheduled within similar timeframes have proceeded at rates exceeding 95% historically.

Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar and any statements from the Football Association of Ireland or Qatar Football Association regarding squad preparation or venue confirmation. Injury crises affecting either nation's squad depth occasionally prompt friendly cancellations, though this typically occurs closer to match week. The settlement window closes just hours after the scheduled kick-off, leaving minimal room for postponement announcements to affect trading positions. Any withdrawal would likely surface through official federation channels or major sports news outlets within the next fortnight.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.