England vs. Costa Rica - More Markets

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Market context

England will face Costa Rica in a FIFA International Friendly on 10 June at 4:00 PM ET, with the market currently pricing an 83% probability that additional betting markets will be offered for the fixture. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day, giving sportsbooks a narrow window to decide whether to expand their market offerings beyond standard match outcomes.

The 83% crowd probability reflects a straightforward historical pattern: major friendlies involving England typically attract expanded market coverage from established operators. Comparable fixtures between top-tier nations and lower-ranked sides have consistently triggered secondary markets—goal scorers, corner counts, card totals—within 24 hours of kickoff. Costa Rica's ranking (currently 31st) and England's profile as a high-liquidity betting jurisdiction make additional markets commercially viable. However, the June international window occasionally sees lighter coverage than competitive tournaments, which explains why the probability sits below 90%.

Traders should monitor whether England announces squad changes or injury updates in the 48 hours before kickoff; significant absences could influence operator appetite for market expansion. The fixture's positioning within England's Euro 2024 preparation schedule matters too—if it's treated as a genuine competitive test rather than a ceremonial warm-up, sportsbooks will be more inclined to offer depth. Regulatory calendars in key jurisdictions and competing fixtures on the same date could also affect market availability decisions, though the 4:00 PM ET slot avoids major scheduling conflicts with other international matches.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.