Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Cambodia (-1.5) | 100% Cambodia | 0% Bhutan |
| Bhutan (-1.5) | 0% Bhutan | 100% Cambodia |
| Cambodia (-2.5) | 100% Cambodia | 1% Bhutan |
| Bhutan (-2.5) | 0% Bhutan | 100% Cambodia |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Cambodia and Bhutan are scheduled to play a FIFA International Friendly on 4 June at 8:00 AM ET. The market is asking whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture beyond those already available. At 100% implied probability, traders are pricing near-certainty that further markets will materialise before the match concludes.
International Friendlies between lower-ranked nations typically attract modest liquidity on major platforms, yet secondary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or player performance props—often launch as kickoff approaches. Historical precedent suggests that matches involving AFC nations outside the top tier do generate supplementary markets, particularly when fixture scheduling aligns with regional tournament windows. The Cambodia-Bhutan pairing sits within typical patterns for expanded market offerings, though the timing and breadth depend on operator appetite and settlement complexity.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar and participating bookmakers' announcements through early June. Confirmation of team lineups and any last-minute postponements would influence whether operators commit resources to additional markets. The settlement window closing at 12:00 UTC on 4 June leaves a narrow window for market deployment; any delays to kickoff or squad announcements in the preceding 48 hours could affect whether the threshold for "more markets" is met. Operator decisions typically hinge on expected trading volume, which remains difficult to forecast for this particular matchup until closer to the fixture date.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $181K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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