Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Winner | 80% KOLESIE | 21% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 47% KOLESIE | 53% GenOne |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 73% Over | 28% Under |
| Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 0% KOLESIE | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KOLESIE face GenOne in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter within the CCT Europe Series #4 group stage, scheduled for 16 June at 1:00PM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a market consensus that one side carries overwhelming advantage, though the sparse liquidity typical of regional qualifier matches means early pricing often lacks depth. Settlement occurs within seven days; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 split.
Regional CCT tournaments have historically produced volatile outcomes when squad composition remains unsettled or when teams field rotated rosters ahead of larger competitions. GenOne and KOLESIE operate within Europe's secondary competitive circuit, where roster changes, bootcamp scheduling, and player availability shifts can materially alter match outcomes within 48-hour windows. The absence of recent public roster announcements or injury disclosures from either organisation suggests stable line-ups, though this remains unconfirmed as of the market's opening.
Traders should monitor CCT's official schedule and team social channels through 16 June for any postponement notices, which occur occasionally due to visa delays or technical infrastructure issues in regional qualifiers. Confirmation of both teams' final rosters and any last-minute stand-in arrangements would shift the probability substantially. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides protection against minor delays, but matches abandoned mid-series without completion default to forfeiture rules rather than 50-50 resolution—a distinction worth tracking if either team experiences technical or logistical disruption during play.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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