Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The lower bracket round one matchup between 3DMAX and Alliance in Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs is scheduled for 28 May at 6:00 AM ET, with the 55% crowd probability favouring 3DMAX. This is a single-elimination fixture where the loser exits the tournament entirely, raising stakes considerably for both sides. The match format is best-of-three, meaning first to two map wins advances.

3DMAX have established themselves as a more consistent mid-tier competitive outfit across recent Stake Ranked seasons, whilst Alliance have shown volatility in their placements. Historical precedent from prior Stake Ranked episodes suggests teams with 3DMAX's stability tend to convert lower bracket advantages at roughly 60–65% rates when facing opponents with Alliance's inconsistency profile. However, lower bracket matches frequently produce upsets because teams facing elimination often execute with heightened focus. The current 55% probability sits slightly conservative relative to 3DMAX's typical matchup positioning.

Traders should monitor team roster confirmations through 27 May, as last-minute substitutions or illness have disrupted Stake Ranked fixtures previously. Broadcast scheduling confirmation matters too—delays beyond the 7-day window trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for any official announcements from Stake or participating organisations regarding map pool selections, which can shift preparation advantages. Recent tournament reports indicate both teams have been scrimming actively, though public performance data remains limited until closer to match day.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.