Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Santos FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| EC Vitória (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Santos FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| EC Vitória (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Santos and Vitória are scheduled to meet in Brazil's top division on 30 May at 8:00 PM ET, with the settlement window closing the following day. The 100% implied probability reflects near-certainty that additional markets will be offered for this fixture, though the current crowd assessment leaves no room for the possibility that the match is postponed, cancelled, or that the sportsbook declines to expand its market offerings.
Historical precedent suggests such confidence warrants scrutiny. Brazilian Série A fixtures frequently encounter postponements due to weather, fixture congestion, or administrative issues; the 2024 season saw multiple reschedulings announced within 48 hours of scheduled kick-off times. Additionally, smaller clubs like Vitória have occasionally faced logistical constraints that delayed market availability. The CBF (Brazilian Football Confederation) confirmed the May 30 fixture in its latest calendar update, but contingencies remain possible if either club advances through cup competitions or faces unforeseen scheduling conflicts.
Traders should monitor the CBF's official fixture announcements and both clubs' injury reports through mid-May, as squad availability can influence whether sportsbooks expand market depth. Santos' recent league position and Vitória's form will likely determine market breadth—fixtures involving higher-stakes scenarios typically attract broader market coverage. Any announcement regarding venue changes or rescheduling would immediately alter settlement conditions, whilst confirmation of the fixture's stability closer to the date would reinforce the current probability assessment.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.
Methodology
This page reviews Santos FC vs. EC Vitória - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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