Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Sweden Corners: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Sweden Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Sweden Corners: O/U 4.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Japan Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Japan Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Japan Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The FIFA Women’s World Cup match between Japan and Sweden, scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on June 25, has seen a sharp shift in market sentiment over the last 48 hours, with the crowd-implied probability for “10+ total corners” now sitting at 100% YES. This surge follows Sweden’s recent 5-1 defeat to the Netherlands, which exposed major defensive frailties and a tendency to concede from set pieces, while Japan’s attacking dominance—evident in their 48-0 victory over Sweden in a prior tournament—suggests sustained pressure and corner accumulation [6][1].
Historically, comparable World Cup fixtures between these sides have produced high corner counts: in their three previous FIFA Women’s World Cup meetings, Japan scored 11 goals and conceded just 3, often through aggressive wing play and set-piece situations that naturally generate corners [1]. Though both teams have leaned under 10.5 corners in recent matches (Japan in 8 of 10, Sweden in 4 of 5), the knockout-stage intensity and Sweden’s defensive vulnerabilities create a distinct outlier scenario where corner totals are likely to exceed prior norms [7].
Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups and any late tactical announcements, particularly whether Sweden employs a high defensive line or commits more players to midfield, which could alter corner dynamics. Additionally, weather conditions at the venue and potential in-game substitutions—especially if Japan pushes for extra time—may influence the final count. As noted by Yahoo Sports, Sweden’s defensive exposure remains a critical factor that could drive corner volume beyond expectations [6].
Methodology
This page reviews Japan vs. Sweden - Total Corners across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Japan vs. Sweden - Total Corners on Prediction Today
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