Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a World Cup qualifier on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET, with the market currently pricing a YES outcome (total corners exceeding the threshold) at 24 per cent. The fixture sits in a compressed qualifying window where both sides face fixture congestion; Scotland enters as heavy favourites in terms of ranking and recent form, whilst Haiti's participation in this stage reflects their improved continental standing. The 24 per cent probability suggests the market expects a relatively controlled match with fewer set-piece opportunities than typical for competitive football.

Historical corner data from World Cup qualifiers shows that matches between sides of significantly different quality tend toward lower corner counts when the stronger team dominates possession and territory. Scotland's recent qualifiers have averaged 9–11 corners per match, whilst Haiti's competitive record shows greater variance depending on opponent calibre. Comparable fixtures—particularly those where a top-50 ranked side faces a lower-ranked opponent in a knockout-stage qualifier—settle below 11 corners roughly 70 per cent of the time, which aligns with current market pricing.

Traders should monitor team news releases through 12 June for injury updates affecting either squad's starting eleven, as personnel changes can shift tactical approach and pressing intensity. Weather conditions at the venue will also influence corner frequency; wind or rain typically increases set-piece dependency. Scotland's recent tactical shift towards wider play under their current setup could increase corner likelihood, though Haiti's defensive shape and limited attacking ambition may suppress the total regardless of conditions.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.