Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices any exact final score at 0%, reflecting the inherent difficulty in forecasting precise match outcomes across thousands of possible results. With settlement occurring just after the 90-minute mark plus stoppage time, the resolution hinges entirely on regulation play—no extra time or penalties factor into the settlement logic.

Exact-score markets in World Cup football historically cluster probability mass around low-scoring outcomes. Goals-0 through goals-2 per side account for roughly 70% of historical frequency across competitive international matches, whilst scorelines like 2–1, 1–0, and 0–0 dominate the upper tail of likelihood. Haiti's qualification for the 2026 tournament marks their first World Cup appearance since 1974, whilst Scotland qualified after a 20-year absence. This asymmetry in tournament experience and squad depth typically correlates with wider goal differentials, though Scotland's defensive record and Haiti's attacking limitations remain incomplete datasets at this stage.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury bulletins from both federations through early June, particularly regarding Scotland's attacking options and Haiti's goalkeeper fitness. Recent UEFA Nations League performance by Scotland and CONCACAF Gold Cup results from Haiti will provide the most recent form indicators. The exact-score market will likely see probability consolidation only in the final 48 hours before kickoff, once team sheets are confirmed and betting markets have settled on goal-expectancy ranges.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

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How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

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