Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Kosovo (-1.5) | 100% Kosovo | 0% Andorra |
| Andorra (-1.5) | 0% Andorra | 100% Kosovo |
| Kosovo (-2.5) | 100% Kosovo | 0% Andorra |
| Andorra (-2.5) | 0% Andorra | 100% Kosovo |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Kosovo and Andorra are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June at 1:00 PM ET. The 100% implied probability on "More Markets" reflects confidence that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture beyond the standard match outcome options. This particular market type typically activates when broadcasters confirm coverage or when sportsbooks detect sufficient liquidity interest in a lower-profile friendly. No material developments have shifted the likelihood in the past 48 hours; the settlement window closing at 17:00 UTC on match day leaves a narrow window for final market expansion decisions.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between nations outside the top-50 FIFA rankings—Kosovo currently sits around 110th, Andorra around 160th—generate secondary markets inconsistently. UEFA-sanctioned friendlies involving Balkan nations have occasionally triggered expanded betting options when domestic broadcasters in the region secure rights, though this varies by sportsbook. The 100% reading here may reflect either a pre-committed market structure from a major operator or trader confidence based on prior patterns with similar fixtures.
Traders should monitor official UEFA fixture confirmations and any broadcast announcements from regional media outlets through early June. Sportsbook calendar updates typically signal market expansion plans 72 to 96 hours before kickoff. The settlement definition's precision—specifically what constitutes "more markets"—remains the critical variable; clarification from the market operator on minimum threshold requirements would directly inform whether current pricing reflects genuine certainty or definitional ambiguity.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $193K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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