Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Jordan will host Colombia in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June at 7:00 PM ET, with the market currently pricing additional betting opportunities at 19 per cent likelihood. The fixture sits within a broader window of international football scheduling as nations prepare for World Cup qualifiers and continental tournaments. Colombia, ranked 16th globally, represents a significant step up in opposition for Jordan, who sit outside the top 100. The 19 per cent probability reflects the relative scarcity of secondary markets for lower-profile friendlies, particularly those involving teams outside Europe's major leagues.

Historical precedent suggests markets for non-European friendlies typically remain thin unless one team carries substantial betting interest. When comparable fixtures between South American and Asian opponents have been offered, secondary markets materialised in roughly 15–25 per cent of cases, depending on bookmaker appetite and regional betting demand. Colombia's participation raises the floor slightly given their continental profile, though Jordan's limited global betting audience works against expansion.

The settlement window closes 7 June at 23:00 UTC, leaving approximately five days for market operators to assess demand. Key variables include whether major sportsbooks announce additional betting options in the coming 48 hours—a signal that would typically precede platform-wide expansion—and any late team news affecting Colombia's squad. Friendly fixtures occasionally see last-minute cancellations or significant roster changes, which can shift operator confidence in market viability. Current odds suggest traders should monitor early-week announcements from major betting operators as the primary catalyst.

Methodology

We track Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.