Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| France (-1.5) | 93% France | 7% Northern Ireland |
| Northern Ireland (-1.5) | 0% Northern Ireland | 100% France |
| France (-2.5) | 48% France | 52% Northern Ireland |
| Northern Ireland (-2.5) | 0% Northern Ireland | 100% France |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
France and Northern Ireland meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 8 June at 3:10 PM ET, with the market currently pricing a 57% probability that additional betting markets will be offered beyond the standard match outcome options. The fixture sits within a broader June international window where European nations typically rotate squads and test tactical approaches ahead of competitive tournaments. Settlement hinges on whether the host platform expands its market offerings—a decision influenced by anticipated trading volume and regulatory clearance rather than match performance itself.
Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between established national teams generate sufficient interest to warrant expanded markets. UEFA-sanctioned friendlies involving France typically attract secondary betting products covering goal totals, player performance metrics, and halftime/fulltime combinations. Northern Ireland's participation as a lower-ranked opponent doesn't necessarily suppress market depth; platforms often use such fixtures to test new market types or accommodate regional demand. The 57% probability reflects moderate confidence in expansion, suggesting traders view this as a plausible but not certain outcome.
Catalysts to monitor include official squad announcements from both federations, which typically arrive 48–72 hours before kickoff and signal whether either team fields a full-strength or experimental lineup. Platform announcements regarding market availability often come within 24 hours of fixture time. Regulatory approvals in key jurisdictions and competing fixture schedules elsewhere on 8 June may also influence whether operators prioritise additional markets for this particular match versus higher-profile concurrent games.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $780K.
Methodology
This page reviews France vs. Northern Ireland - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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