Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
45% | 55% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
45% | 55% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Denmark (-1.5) | 45% Denmark | 55% Ukraine |
| Ukraine (-1.5) | 1% Ukraine | 99% Denmark |
| Denmark (-2.5) | 19% Denmark | 82% Ukraine |
| Ukraine (-2.5) | 0% Ukraine | 100% Denmark |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Denmark and Ukraine are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June at 12:30 PM ET, with the market currently pricing a 45% probability for additional betting markets to be offered on the fixture. The timing sits within UEFA's June international window, when friendlies typically serve as preparation for competitive tournaments or as standalone fixtures for nations managing squad rotation and tactical development.
Historical precedent suggests friendlies between European nations of comparable strength generate moderate market depth. Denmark, ranked 19th in the FIFA standings, and Ukraine, ranked 22nd, represent a competitive pairing that broadcasters and betting operators have traditionally supported with multiple markets. Similar Euro-qualifier-era friendlies between nations in this ranking band have typically triggered secondary market offerings—including goalscorer bets, corner totals, and card markets—though not universally. The 45% probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a clear market consensus, suggesting traders view operator decisions as contingent on factors beyond the teams' profiles alone.
Catalysts to monitor include official team sheet announcements (typically 24 hours pre-match), which may influence operator appetite if either squad fields significantly weakened lineups. Fixture scheduling changes or broadcaster decisions could also shift the likelihood of expanded markets. Additionally, any late injury news affecting key players may prompt operators to delay market deployment pending clearer information. The settlement window closes at 16:30 UTC on match day, leaving minimal time for market adjustments once play begins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $862K.
Methodology
This page reviews Denmark vs. Ukraine - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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