Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 90% YES | 10% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Tundra Esports face Team Spirit in a best-of-one group stage fixture at the BLAST Slam Dota 2 tournament, scheduled for 9:50 AM ET on 26 May. The match represents a significant test for both organisations within a competitive international circuit where roster stability and recent form carry substantial weight. Current market pricing at 0% for Tundra reflects either extreme confidence in Spirit's superiority or minimal trading activity at this early stage.
Historical matchup data between these squads shows competitive balance across their recent encounters, though Team Spirit have maintained stronger placements in major tournaments over the past 18 months. Tundra's performance at comparable BLAST events has been inconsistent—capable of defeating top-tier opponents but prone to uneven showings against mid-tier competition. The 0% probability suggests either a data lag in the market or traders assigning near-certainty to Spirit based on current patch meta alignment and recent bootcamp results.
Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any schedule changes or roster confirmations through to the settlement window closing at 19:50 UTC on 26 May. Recent patch updates to Dota 2 (typically released fortnightly) can shift hero viability and favour teams with stronger preparation depth. Any last-minute coaching staff changes or player illness announcements would materialise through official esports news channels and team social media in the 24 hours preceding the match. The seven-day cancellation clause provides protection against fixture postponement, though BLAST events rarely experience significant delays once group stages commence.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST … on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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