Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Refuser face Game Master in a lower bracket quarterfinal at the International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs, with the match scheduled for 17 June at 12:00 AM ET. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptional confidence in one team's superiority or minimal liquidity in the market, both common patterns for regional qualifier matches with limited spectator interest outside China's Dota 2 community.

Historical precedent suggests Chinese regional qualifiers often see dominant performances from established rosters. Team Refuser and Game Master operate within a competitive ecosystem where roster stability, recent LAN results, and scrim performance typically correlate with playoff advancement. Lower bracket matches at this stage often feature teams with uneven preparation levels, particularly if one side entered the bracket early whilst the other navigated upper bracket runs. The certainty priced into this market warrants scrutiny—qualifier matches frequently produce upsets when underdogs field motivated lineups or exploit meta shifts between regional and international play.

Traders should monitor whether either team announces roster changes or coaching adjustments before 17 June, as Chinese esports organisations sometimes shuffle players between qualifiers and main events. The settlement window closes at 10:00 AM ET on match day, leaving a two-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Fixture delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a risk factor given occasional scheduling conflicts in regional qualifiers. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled typically arrives 24–48 hours prior; absence of such confirmation by 15 June would signal potential postponement.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.