Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

PARIVISION and Team Yandex are scheduled to meet in a best-of-one Dota 2 fixture within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 12:10 PM ET. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity at present. Given the settlement window closes at 22:40 UTC the same day, resolution hinges entirely on whether the match executes as scheduled and reaches completion without technical interruption.

Historical precedent from regional Dota 2 tournaments indicates that group-stage matches in established circuits like BLAST rarely cancel outright, though delays occasionally push fixtures beyond their advertised windows. The forfeit clause in this market's terms—resolving to 50-50 if play begins but doesn't finish—introduces material risk if either squad encounters roster availability issues or infrastructure problems during the broadcast window. Team Yandex's participation in international-tier competition has been inconsistent over recent seasons, which may explain the absence of meaningful trading interest.

Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule and both organisations' social channels through 25 May for any withdrawal announcements or postponement notices. Fixture confirmations typically arrive 24–48 hours prior in established circuits. The compressed settlement window (same-day resolution) means any delay beyond early evening UTC would trigger the tie resolution clause, fundamentally altering the market's outcome regardless of in-game performance.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.