Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons face Team Yandex in a BLAST Slam group-stage match scheduled for 27 May at 16:00 UTC. The 10% implied probability for Falcons reflects their standing as significant underdogs in this fixture, though the market's low confidence suggests genuine uncertainty about team form or roster stability heading into the event.

Falcons have competed inconsistently across recent Dota 2 tournaments, with results varying sharply depending on patch adaptation and mid-tournament momentum. Team Yandex, by contrast, has maintained steadier performances in regional qualifiers and group stages, though neither side commands the tier-one consistency that would justify extreme probability skew. Historical matchups between regional powerhouses and emerging challengers in BLAST formats typically settle around 15–25% for the underdog when skill gaps are moderate rather than pronounced.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through 26 May, as stand-in announcements or last-minute lineup changes have disrupted Dota 2 predictions in prior BLAST events. The group-stage format itself carries lower stakes than playoffs, which can affect preparation intensity and draft innovation. Fixture timing at 16:00 UTC places the match during European afternoon hours, potentially favouring teams with established scrim schedules in that window. Any official BLAST communications regarding schedule shifts or technical delays should be tracked closely, given the 7-day cancellation threshold embedded in settlement terms.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.