Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

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Market context

Aurora face Team Liquid in a BLAST Slam Dota 2 group stage match scheduled for 28 May at 06:20 ET. The 10% implied probability reflects Team Liquid's established standing as a top-tier competitive outfit, though Aurora's recent form and roster composition warrant closer examination within the next 48 hours. Any roster changes, injury disclosures, or scrim results circulating amongst the competitive community could shift sentiment materially before the settlement window closes at 16:10 UTC on match day.

Team Liquid has maintained consistent performance across international Dota 2 tournaments over the past two years, regularly placing in top-four finishes at major events. Aurora, by contrast, operates with less consistent international exposure, though they have demonstrated capacity to upset higher-seeded opponents in regional qualifiers. The 10% valuation suggests the market is pricing Aurora as a significant underdog—a positioning that holds if Team Liquid's core roster remains intact and their recent scrim data shows standard preparation levels.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any last-minute roster confirmations or stand-in announcements through 27 May. Team Liquid's recent tournament schedule and travel logistics matter; fatigue from back-to-back events can degrade performance. Aurora's qualification pathway and whether they've faced Team Liquid in recent scrims will influence their tactical preparation. Schedule adherence is critical given the tight settlement window—any delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of competitive outcome.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.