Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is a Best of 3 Dota 2 match between Team AION and PuckChamp in the European Pro League Group A, scheduled to begin at 10:00 UTC today. In the last 24 hours, Strafe users have overwhelmingly favoured PuckChamp, allocating 95% of their votes to the CIS side while giving Team AION only 5% [2]. This 0% crowd-implied probability for Team AION winning mirrors historical patterns where lower-ranked CIS teams face near-identical opponents with minimal fan support; for instance, when World Ranking 41 faces 40 in similar Group A fixtures, the underdog rarely secures a single market point unless a roster shock occurs [1].

Traders must monitor the official live stream on DLTV and any real-time roster announcements before the 10:00 UTC start, as a sudden player substitution could invalidate the current pricing [7]. The match is verified by Gamers World and DLTV, meaning any delay beyond seven days or cancellation will force a 50-50 settlement rather than a win for either side [4]. Watch for Strafe’s live vote updates, which currently show PuckChamp as the overwhelming favourite, and confirm the start time on Sofascore to ensure no timezone confusion affects entry [5]. If the match begins but ends in forfeiture, the market resolves to the team that wins due to the opponent’s failure to continue, a dependency that remains untested until play commences [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team AION vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.